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MIT Has Predicted that Society Will Collapse in 2040

Economics Explained
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2021/11/25

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コメント数 13 341
Economics Explained
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 ShortHax
Maybe electing people who won’t be alive for society’s collapse isn’t such a bright idea
Faethe
Faethe 28 日 前
My experience is that there's never been a group of science types as bad at prediction as economists.
Michael McGrath
Michael McGrath 21 日 前
I was 20 when the Limits to Growth was published. I really did not expect our civilisation to endure until today. I am constantly gobsmacked at how résiliant and innovative humans are, but I’m not encouraged by the general ambivalence and ignorance of our world “leaders”. I’ll be ninety by 2040, if I’m lucky. I’m much more concerned for my children and grandchildren’s future. As they say, “There is no planet B.”
TheSoundOfBand Instrumental
"Here you go, have an ad."
Tony Jones
I liked the "apartment vs. castle" statement. I visited the main ruins of a castle in Germany and, until the guide mentioned it, it never occurred to me just how COLD those joints got in the winter...
An Old Man and his HPV
An Old Man and his HPV 19 時間 前
I was at MIT economics at the time, and I met Prof Forester several times. You have to remember that the 70s were a time of huge commodity price increases. Many people, not just economists, extrapolated this out to mean that we would eventually run out of things. Later this became known as "peak oil" etc.I remember one paper that said we would soon run out of copper because the minimum minable grade was assumed to be 0.1%.
Sean Whearty
Hey guys. If we work really hard, we can achieve that goal by 2030
Theophilus Jedediah
What is the more frightening idea than the our civilization coming to and end is the fact that there are many in government working actively towards this goal.
Alëy Oakenshield
Alëy Oakenshield 21 日 前
One Mistake: Kings in wealthy nations during medieval times never ate cholera infested food. They also had enough servants for hot baths, fresh clothes, lit fireplaces in every room, or any other services you need. Obviously there were other problems (like their doctors still only knowing a fraction of what they do today).
Matt Greene
Matt Greene 7 時間 前
There's a book called Fates Of Empires by Sir John Glubb in which he studied lots of failed societies, and found a pattern. We're just following along the cycle he discovered. One reason he mentions for this that the OP didn't mention....was that history is not truthfully taught. Since we constantly revise history, we can't escape the cycle.
The Smith of Lies
The Smith of Lies 28 日 前
"As soon as humanity's back is against the wall..." the reactions to COVID and anthropogenic climate change seem to show that even if the innovation is there, the support for it and wide adoption is not guaranteed by a long shot.
Awoken Entertainment
Awoken Entertainment 21 日 前
Crazy how ACs and heaters, something most take for granted these days, makes such a difference that most would choose the apartment over the castle... Perspective 🤯
Investment Joy
Would love to see a comparison of the various economic doomsday theories of the 50s-80s and see how they've fared. I remember hearing my parents and their friends talking about them in the early 90s, and yet here we are.
Savva Grachev
Can only imagine how many predictions were made in the past about a number of things to do with society from political views to technology to the skills that will be in demand. I understand that this may be backed up yes but a prediction is only a prediction and no matter how convincing it may be, many things may change between now and then.
Paolo Fumarola
Paolo Fumarola 28 日 前
I red the book "at our wit's end" recently, by Edward Dutton and Michael Woodley, and I have to say that their analysis of specifically the "innovation" part as fuelled by Intelligence as measured by IQ and how this always declines in advanced civilizations due to negative selection is amazing
Hike Ranger
Hike Ranger 21 日 前
Props for the amount of work you did pulling this whole thing together...in a way it is Epic content.
I am trash
I think this actually has merit, even if (hopefully) it turns out incorrect. Rather than happily dunking on the model for being incorrect, I think it has merit to actually know that there's a possibility of such a future.
Joshua Calig
Joshua Calig 21 日 前
It depends on how you define society.
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